Ansbach 09 1-0 Illertissen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
4.48
Draw
27%
4.08
Away
50%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.33
Over 2.5
57%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.63
No
45%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
7%
X/2
18%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
27%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
20%
+2.9pp
27%
Draw
22%
+5.7pp
50%
Away Win
59%
-8.6pp
43%
Under 2.5
39%
+4.1pp
57%
Over 2.5
61%
-4.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
57%
-2.5pp
45%
BTTS No
43%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ansbach 09 EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Illertissen EU Bookmakers 62%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
1.04/2.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.87/0.39
-9% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +150%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
268 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 450 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.0 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ansbach 09
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Illertissen
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
26.04.2024 Illertissen Illertissen 4-0 HT 0-0 Ansbach 09 Ansbach 09 ALMBÖL
07.10.2023 Ansbach 09 Ansbach 09 4-0 HT 4-0 Illertissen Illertissen ALMBÖL
12.05.2023 Illertissen Illertissen 2-0 HT 0-0 Ansbach 09 Ansbach 09 ALMBÖL
15.10.2022 Ansbach 09 Ansbach 09 1-1 HT 1-1 Illertissen Illertissen ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Ansbach 09 vs Illertissen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ansbach 09 edged past Illertissen 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Illertissen at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Illertissen led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Ansbach 09 and 1.75 for Illertissen.

What was the final score of Ansbach 09 vs Illertissen?

Ansbach 09 1-0 Illertissen in the Germany - Regional League on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ansbach 09 vs Illertissen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Illertissen win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Ansbach 09 22%, draw 27%, Illertissen 50%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Illertissen) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ALMBÖL More Germany - Regional League
6 Oct 2024
14:00 Altglienicke vs BFC Dynamo Analysis →
14:00 VFC Plauen vs Greifswalder SV Analysis →
14:00 Viktoria Berlin vs Babelsberg Analysis →
14:30 Teutonia Hamburg vs Havelse Analysis →
15:00 Wacker Burghausen vs Türkgücü München Analysis →
15:00 Bayreuth vs Schwaben Augsburg Analysis →