Illertissen 4-0 Ansbach 09 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 26 Apr 2024

📅26/04/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.53
Draw
28%
4.19
Away
20%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.38
Over 2.5
47%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.63
No
58%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
61%
-9.2pp
28%
Draw
21%
+7.4pp
20%
Away Win
18%
+1.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
38%
+14.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
62%
-14.5pp
42%
BTTS Yes
57%
-14.7pp
58%
BTTS No
43%
+14.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Illertissen EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Ansbach 09 EU Bookmakers 21%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
2.39/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/2.38
+11% / +59% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -23%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
364 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Illertissen
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Ansbach 09
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
07.10.2023 Ansbach 09 Ansbach 09 4-0 HT 4-0 Illertissen Illertissen ALMBÖL
12.05.2023 Illertissen Illertissen 2-0 HT 0-0 Ansbach 09 Ansbach 09 ALMBÖL
15.10.2022 Ansbach 09 Ansbach 09 1-1 HT 1-1 Illertissen Illertissen ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Illertissen vs Ansbach 09
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Illertissen cruised past Ansbach 09 4-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Illertissen as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Illertissen and 1.67 for Ansbach 09.

What was the final score of Illertissen vs Ansbach 09?

Illertissen 4-0 Ansbach 09 in the Germany - Regional League on 26/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Illertissen vs Ansbach 09?

Before kick-off our model rated a Illertissen win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Illertissen 52%, draw 28%, Ansbach 09 20%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Illertissen), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Illertissen) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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