Hansa Rostock II 3-2 BFC Dynamo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 26 Apr 2024

📅26/04/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
4.71
Draw
22%
4.34
Away
55%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.51
Over 2.5
63%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.6
No
41%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
19%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
27%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
18%
+4.8pp
22%
Draw
20%
+2.9pp
55%
Away Win
62%
-7.7pp
37%
Under 2.5
36%
+1.3pp
63%
Over 2.5
64%
-1.3pp
59%
BTTS Yes
58%
+0.1pp
41%
BTTS No
42%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hansa Rostock II EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY BFC Dynamo EU Bookmakers 67%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
0.86/1.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/0.92
-24% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +9%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
331 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 457 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hansa Rostock II
0W-1D-0L
AWAY BFC Dynamo
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
12.11.2023 BFC Dynamo BFC Dynamo 0-0 HT 0-0 Hansa Rostock II Hansa Rostock II ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hansa Rostock II
3-2
AWAY BFC Dynamo
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 15
8 Shots on Target 10
3 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hansa Rostock II vs BFC Dynamo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hansa Rostock II squeezed past BFC Dynamo 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had BFC Dynamo at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, Hansa Rostock II had 46% of the ball to BFC Dynamo's 54%, shots finished 9-15.

What was the final score of Hansa Rostock II vs BFC Dynamo?

Hansa Rostock II 3-2 BFC Dynamo in the Germany - Regional League on 26/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hansa Rostock II vs BFC Dynamo?

Before kick-off our model rated an BFC Dynamo win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Hansa Rostock II 23%, draw 22%, BFC Dynamo 55%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (BFC Dynamo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (BFC Dynamo) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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