Memmingen 1-0 Greuther Fürth II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 26 Apr 2024

Memmingen
1-0 HT 1-0
Greuther Fürth II
📅26/04/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Germany - Regional League – 2023/2024

Memmingen vs Greuther Fürth II Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
2.57
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
53%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.21
Over 2.5
48%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.55
No
50%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
5%
X/2
17%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
30%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
35%
-14.4pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.5pp
53%
Away Win
42%
+10.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
41%
+10.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
59%
-10.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
60%
-10.1pp
50%
BTTS No
40%
+10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Memmingen v Greuther Fürth II — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Memmingen EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Greuther Fürth II EU Bookmakers 46%
+6% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.26/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.35
-14% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -6%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
362 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.9

Memmingen vs Greuther Fürth II Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Memmingen
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Greuther Fürth II
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
36% Ball Possession 64%
6 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
08.10.2023 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II 1-2 HT 0-0 Memmingen Memmingen ALMBÖL
23.04.2022 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II 0-1 HT 0-0 Memmingen Memmingen ALMBÖL
24.09.2021 Memmingen Memmingen 3-3 HT 1-2 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II ALMBÖL
24.10.2020 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II 1-1 HT 0-0 Memmingen Memmingen ALMBÖL
12.09.2014 Memmingen Memmingen 1-6 HT 1-2 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II ALMBÖL
28.03.2014 Memmingen Memmingen 3-0 HT 2-0 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Memmingen vs Greuther Fürth II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Memmingen squeezed past Greuther Fürth II 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Greuther Fürth II at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Memmingen had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Memmingen and 1.83 for Greuther Fürth II.

What was the final score of Memmingen vs Greuther Fürth II?

Memmingen 1-0 Greuther Fürth II in the Germany - Regional League on 26/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Memmingen vs Greuther Fürth II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Greuther Fürth II win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Memmingen 20%, draw 27%, Greuther Fürth II 53%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Greuther Fürth II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Greuther Fürth II) ✓ Under 2.5
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