Altglienicke 2-3 Eilenburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 26 Apr 2024

📅26/04/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.49
Draw
19%
4.49
Away
27%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.63
Over 2.5
53%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.55
No
54%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
63%
-8.9pp
19%
Draw
19%
+0.2pp
27%
Away Win
18%
+8.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
34%
+12.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
66%
-12.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
60%
-14.7pp
54%
BTTS No
40%
+14.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Altglienicke EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Eilenburg EU Bookmakers 21%
-21% / -37% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -3%
2.11/1.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.68
-2% / -44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +10%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
380 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Altglienicke
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Eilenburg
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.11.2023 Eilenburg Eilenburg 1-0 HT 0-0 Altglienicke Altglienicke ALMBÖL
12.03.2022 Eilenburg Eilenburg 1-0 HT 1-0 Altglienicke Altglienicke ALMBÖL
10.09.2021 Altglienicke Altglienicke 6-0 HT 3-0 Eilenburg Eilenburg ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Altglienicke
2-3
AWAY Eilenburg
68% Ball Possession 32%
31 Total Shots 8
17 Shots on Target 5
16 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Altglienicke vs Eilenburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eilenburg edged past Altglienicke 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Altglienicke at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Altglienicke had 68% of the ball to Eilenburg's 32%, shots finished 31-8.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Eilenburg led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Altglienicke and 0.67 for Eilenburg.

What was the final score of Altglienicke vs Eilenburg?

Altglienicke 2-3 Eilenburg in the Germany - Regional League on 26/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Altglienicke vs Eilenburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Altglienicke win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Altglienicke 54%, draw 19%, Eilenburg 27%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Altglienicke), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Altglienicke) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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