Viktoria Berlin 4-2 Babelsberg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.57
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
37%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.91
Over 2.5
52%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.66
No
44%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
35%
+2.2pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.9pp
37%
Away Win
39%
-1.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.4pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Viktoria Berlin EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Babelsberg EU Bookmakers 43%
-4% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -10%
1.44/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.16
-2% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +19%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
314 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Viktoria Berlin
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Babelsberg
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
52% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
31.03.2024 Viktoria Berlin Viktoria Berlin 1-1 HT 1-1 Babelsberg Babelsberg ALMBÖL
06.10.2023 Babelsberg Babelsberg 3-0 HT 1-0 Viktoria Berlin Viktoria Berlin ALMBÖL
18.02.2023 Babelsberg Babelsberg 0-2 HT 0-1 Viktoria Berlin Viktoria Berlin ALMBÖL
28.08.2022 Viktoria Berlin Viktoria Berlin 0-1 HT 0-1 Babelsberg Babelsberg ALMBÖL
23.10.2020 Viktoria Berlin Viktoria Berlin 3-0 HT 0-0 Babelsberg Babelsberg ALMBÖL
09.02.2020 Viktoria Berlin Viktoria Berlin 1-0 HT 0-0 Babelsberg Babelsberg ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Viktoria Berlin vs Babelsberg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Viktoria Berlin beat Babelsberg 4-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (37% / 25% / 37%) promised a tight game; Viktoria Berlin found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Viktoria Berlin had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Viktoria Berlin and 0.83 for Babelsberg.

What was the final score of Viktoria Berlin vs Babelsberg?

Viktoria Berlin 4-2 Babelsberg in the Germany - Regional League on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Viktoria Berlin vs Babelsberg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Viktoria Berlin win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Viktoria Berlin 37%, draw 25%, Babelsberg 37%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/25/37) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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