Rot-Weiss Erfurt 2-0 Greifswalder SV — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.02
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
27%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.03
Over 2.5
55%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.63
No
45%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
45%
+0.2pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.4pp
27%
Away Win
29%
-2.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
45%
-0.8pp
55%
Over 2.5
55%
+0.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
57%
-1.8pp
45%
BTTS No
43%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rot-Weiss Erfurt EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Greifswalder SV EU Bookmakers 33%
+12% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +7%
2.36/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/1.68
+42% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -8%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
310 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rot-Weiss Erfurt
3W-2D-0L
AWAY Greifswalder SV
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.10.2024 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV 1-2 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt ALMBÖL
28.03.2024 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt 1-1 HT 0-1 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV ALMBÖL
07.10.2023 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV 1-1 HT 0-1 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt ALMBÖL
16.04.2023 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt 4-0 HT 1-0 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV ALMBÖL
29.10.2022 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV 0-2 HT 0-1 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs Greifswalder SV
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rot-Weiss Erfurt beat Greifswalder SV 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Rot-Weiss Erfurt as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Rot-Weiss Erfurt had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Rot-Weiss Erfurt and 0.60 for Greifswalder SV.

What was the final score of Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs Greifswalder SV?

Rot-Weiss Erfurt 2-0 Greifswalder SV in the Germany - Regional League on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs Greifswalder SV?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rot-Weiss Erfurt win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Rot-Weiss Erfurt 45%, draw 28%, Greifswalder SV 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rot-Weiss Erfurt) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rot-Weiss Erfurt) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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