Greifswalder SV 1-2 Rot-Weiss Erfurt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 20 Oct 2024

Greifswalder SV
1-2
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
📅20/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✓
Germany - Regional League – 2024/2025

Greifswalder SV vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.76
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
29%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.23
Over 2.5
53%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.6
No
45%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
52%
-4.8pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.7pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+5.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.9pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Greifswalder SV v Rot-Weiss Erfurt — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Greifswalder SV EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Rot-Weiss Erfurt EU Bookmakers 28%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -9%
2.59/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.35
+32% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +26%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
377 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.6

Greifswalder SV vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Greifswalder SV
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Rot-Weiss Erfurt
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
5 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
28.03.2024 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt 1-1 HT 0-1 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV ALMBÖL
07.10.2023 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV 1-1 HT 0-1 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt ALMBÖL
16.04.2023 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt 4-0 HT 1-0 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV ALMBÖL
29.10.2022 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV 0-2 HT 0-1 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Greifswalder SV vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rot-Weiss Erfurt nicked a narrow win over Greifswalder SV 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Greifswalder SV at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Rot-Weiss Erfurt led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Greifswalder SV and 2.00 for Rot-Weiss Erfurt.

What was the final score of Greifswalder SV vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt?

Greifswalder SV 1-2 Rot-Weiss Erfurt in the Germany - Regional League on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Greifswalder SV vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt?

Before kick-off our model rated a Greifswalder SV win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Greifswalder SV 48%, draw 23%, Rot-Weiss Erfurt 30%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Greifswalder SV) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Greifswalder SV) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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