Phönix Lübeck 0-1 Eintracht Norderstedt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.66
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
21%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.51
Over 2.5
50%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.5
No
51%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
56%
-2.4pp
25%
Draw
22%
+2.5pp
22%
Away Win
22%
-0.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
36%
+14.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
64%
-14.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
62%
-13.7pp
51%
BTTS No
38%
+13.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Phönix Lübeck EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Eintracht Norderstedt EU Bookmakers 25%
+1% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -10%
2.40/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.81
+22% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +2%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
359 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Phönix Lübeck
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Eintracht Norderstedt
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 17
9 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
20.04.2024 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck 4-2 HT 2-2 Eintracht Norderstedt Eintracht Norderstedt ALMBÖL
22.10.2023 Eintracht Norderstedt Eintracht Norderstedt 0-2 HT 0-1 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck ALMBÖL
19.03.2023 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck 1-0 HT 1-0 Eintracht Norderstedt Eintracht Norderstedt ALMBÖL
18.09.2022 Eintracht Norderstedt Eintracht Norderstedt 2-3 HT 0-0 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck ALMBÖL
16.10.2021 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck 1-1 HT 0-1 Eintracht Norderstedt Eintracht Norderstedt ALMBÖL
13.08.2021 Eintracht Norderstedt Eintracht Norderstedt 4-0 HT 1-0 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Phönix Lübeck vs Eintracht Norderstedt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eintracht Norderstedt edged past Phönix Lübeck 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Phönix Lübeck at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Phönix Lübeck had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Phönix Lübeck and 1.50 for Eintracht Norderstedt.

What was the final score of Phönix Lübeck vs Eintracht Norderstedt?

Phönix Lübeck 0-1 Eintracht Norderstedt in the Germany - Regional League on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Phönix Lübeck vs Eintracht Norderstedt?

Before kick-off our model rated a Phönix Lübeck win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Phönix Lübeck 54%, draw 25%, Eintracht Norderstedt 22%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Phönix Lübeck) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Phönix Lübeck) ✓ BTTS No
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