Meuselwitz 2-1 Viktoria Berlin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.47
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
36%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.0
Over 2.5
49%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.61
No
43%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
8%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
+0.5pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.5pp
36%
Away Win
38%
-1.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
46%
+4.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
54%
-4.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-0.5pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Meuselwitz EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Viktoria Berlin EU Bookmakers 42%
-8% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.35/1.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/1.11
-9% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +26%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
288 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Meuselwitz
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Viktoria Berlin
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
25.02.2024 Viktoria Berlin Viktoria Berlin 0-0 HT 0-0 Meuselwitz Meuselwitz ALMBÖL
03.09.2023 Meuselwitz Meuselwitz 0-1 HT 0-0 Viktoria Berlin Viktoria Berlin ALMBÖL
14.05.2023 Meuselwitz Meuselwitz 2-1 HT 1-1 Viktoria Berlin Viktoria Berlin ALMBÖL
02.12.2022 Viktoria Berlin Viktoria Berlin 2-0 HT 2-0 Meuselwitz Meuselwitz ALMBÖL
23.09.2020 Meuselwitz Meuselwitz 0-3 HT 0-1 Viktoria Berlin Viktoria Berlin ALMBÖL
22.10.2019 Viktoria Berlin Viktoria Berlin 0-0 HT 0-0 Meuselwitz Meuselwitz ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Meuselwitz vs Viktoria Berlin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Meuselwitz squeezed past Viktoria Berlin 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 27% / 36%) promised a tight game; Meuselwitz found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Viktoria Berlin led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Meuselwitz and 1.17 for Viktoria Berlin.

What was the final score of Meuselwitz vs Viktoria Berlin?

Meuselwitz 2-1 Viktoria Berlin in the Germany - Regional League on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Meuselwitz vs Viktoria Berlin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Meuselwitz win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Meuselwitz 37%, draw 27%, Viktoria Berlin 36%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Meuselwitz), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Meuselwitz) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ALMBÖL More Germany - Regional League
20 Oct 2024
00:00 FSV Zwickau vs Luckenwalde Analysis →
00:00 Phönix Lübeck vs Eintracht Norderstedt Analysis →
00:00 Todesfelde vs Drochtersen / Assel Analysis →
00:00 St. Pauli II vs Weiche Flensburg Analysis →
00:00 Greifswalder SV vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt Analysis →
14:00 Babelsberg vs Hallescher FC Analysis →