FSV Zwickau 1-0 Luckenwalde — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.82
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
26%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.03
Over 2.5
51%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.68
No
46%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
51%
-2.3pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.4pp
26%
Away Win
25%
+1.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
45%
+3.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
55%
-3.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.9pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FSV Zwickau EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Luckenwalde EU Bookmakers 29%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +2%
2.71/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.94
+49% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -12%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
372 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FSV Zwickau
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Luckenwalde
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
65% Ball Possession 35%
18 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners
28.01.2024 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde 0-1 HT 0-1 FSV Zwickau FSV Zwickau ALMBÖL
30.08.2015 FSV Zwickau FSV Zwickau 3-0 HT 3-0 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH FSV Zwickau vs Luckenwalde
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FSV Zwickau squeezed past Luckenwalde 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had FSV Zwickau as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, FSV Zwickau had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for FSV Zwickau and 0.00 for Luckenwalde.

What was the final score of FSV Zwickau vs Luckenwalde?

FSV Zwickau 1-0 Luckenwalde in the Germany - Regional League on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FSV Zwickau vs Luckenwalde?

Before kick-off our model rated a FSV Zwickau win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split FSV Zwickau 48%, draw 25%, Luckenwalde 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FSV Zwickau) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FSV Zwickau) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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