St. Pauli II 2-2 Weiche Flensburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.67
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
38%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.21
Over 2.5
56%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.53
No
42%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
34%
+4.8pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.1pp
38%
Away Win
41%
-2.8pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.5pp
58%
BTTS Yes
61%
-2.8pp
42%
BTTS No
39%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Pauli II EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Weiche Flensburg EU Bookmakers 45%
-6% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -8%
1.39/1.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.35
-6% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +3%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
326 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 444 · 86%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Pauli II
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Weiche Flensburg
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 23
4 Shots on Target 14
4 Corners 8
4 Yellow Cards 3
17.03.2024 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II 0-0 HT 0-0 Weiche Flensburg Weiche Flensburg ALMBÖL
23.09.2023 Weiche Flensburg Weiche Flensburg 0-5 HT 0-1 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II ALMBÖL
06.04.2023 Weiche Flensburg Weiche Flensburg 0-1 HT 0-1 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II ALMBÖL
11.09.2022 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II 1-4 HT 0-1 Weiche Flensburg Weiche Flensburg ALMBÖL
23.02.2022 Weiche Flensburg Weiche Flensburg 3-3 HT 2-3 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II ALMBÖL
10.10.2021 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II 2-1 HT 1-1 Weiche Flensburg Weiche Flensburg ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH St. Pauli II vs Weiche Flensburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Pauli II and Weiche Flensburg couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2.

Our pre-match split (38% / 23% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, St. Pauli II had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for St. Pauli II and 1.33 for Weiche Flensburg.

What was the final score of St. Pauli II vs Weiche Flensburg?

St. Pauli II 2-2 Weiche Flensburg in the Germany - Regional League on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Pauli II vs Weiche Flensburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a St. Pauli II win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split St. Pauli II 38%, draw 23%, Weiche Flensburg 38%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (38/23/38) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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