St. Pauli II 0-0 Weiche Flensburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.92
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
33%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.15
Over 2.5
61%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.6
No
43%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
22%
X/2
10%
X/X
5%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
48%
-4.4pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.6pp
33%
Away Win
27%
+6.1pp
39%
Under 2.5
43%
-3.9pp
61%
Over 2.5
57%
+3.9pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.2pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Pauli II EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Weiche Flensburg EU Bookmakers 31%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +6%
1.31/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.31
-29% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +29%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
397 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Pauli II
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Weiche Flensburg
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 23
4 Shots on Target 14
4 Corners 8
4 Yellow Cards 3
23.09.2023 Weiche Flensburg Weiche Flensburg 0-5 HT 0-1 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II ALMBÖL
06.04.2023 Weiche Flensburg Weiche Flensburg 0-1 HT 0-1 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II ALMBÖL
11.09.2022 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II 1-4 HT 0-1 Weiche Flensburg Weiche Flensburg ALMBÖL
23.02.2022 Weiche Flensburg Weiche Flensburg 3-3 HT 2-3 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II ALMBÖL
10.10.2021 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II 2-1 HT 1-1 Weiche Flensburg Weiche Flensburg ALMBÖL
26.10.2019 Weiche Flensburg Weiche Flensburg 4-1 HT 3-1 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH St. Pauli II vs Weiche Flensburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Pauli II and Weiche Flensburg played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was St. Pauli II at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, St. Pauli II had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for St. Pauli II and 2.00 for Weiche Flensburg.

What was the final score of St. Pauli II vs Weiche Flensburg?

St. Pauli II 0-0 Weiche Flensburg in the Germany - Regional League on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Pauli II vs Weiche Flensburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a St. Pauli II win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split St. Pauli II 44%, draw 23%, Weiche Flensburg 33%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (St. Pauli II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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