Greifswalder SV 4-1 Viktoria Berlin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
1.64
Draw
37%
3.8
Away
25%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.97
Over 2.5
42%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
6%
X/X
24%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
57%
-19.5pp
37%
Draw
23%
+14.1pp
25%
Away Win
20%
+5.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
47%
+11.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
53%
-11.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.0pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Greifswalder SV EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Viktoria Berlin EU Bookmakers 23%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +29%
2.28/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/1.09
+16% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / +69%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
357 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Greifswalder SV
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Viktoria Berlin
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
55% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
30.09.2023 Viktoria Berlin Viktoria Berlin 2-2 HT 2-2 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV ALMBÖL
04.03.2023 Viktoria Berlin Viktoria Berlin 2-1 HT 1-0 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV ALMBÖL
18.09.2022 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV 5-0 HT 2-0 Viktoria Berlin Viktoria Berlin ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Greifswalder SV
4-1
AWAY Viktoria Berlin
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Greifswalder SV vs Viktoria Berlin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Greifswalder SV ran out comfortable winners over Viktoria Berlin 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (37% / 37% / 25%) promised a tight game; Greifswalder SV found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Greifswalder SV had 51% of the ball to Viktoria Berlin's 49%, shots finished 10-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Greifswalder SV and 1.33 for Viktoria Berlin.

What was the final score of Greifswalder SV vs Viktoria Berlin?

Greifswalder SV 4-1 Viktoria Berlin in the Germany - Regional League on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Greifswalder SV vs Viktoria Berlin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Greifswalder SV win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Greifswalder SV 37%, draw 37%, Viktoria Berlin 25%. The final score 4-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/37/25) ✗ Under 2.5
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