VfB Oldenburg 1-3 Drochtersen / Assel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 17 Mar 2024

VfB Oldenburg
1-3 HT 1-3
Drochtersen / Assel
📅17/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Germany - Regional League – 2023/2024

VfB Oldenburg vs Drochtersen / Assel Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.86
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
27%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.82
Over 2.5
50%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
50%
-3.2pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.2pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
51%
-1.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
49%
+1.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.3pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

VfB Oldenburg v Drochtersen / Assel — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME VfB Oldenburg EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Drochtersen / Assel EU Bookmakers 27%
+15% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -11%
1.97/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.61
+8% / +66% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
326 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0

VfB Oldenburg vs Drochtersen / Assel Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME VfB Oldenburg
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Drochtersen / Assel
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 2
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
The Meetings
23.09.2023 Drochtersen / Assel Drochtersen / Assel 1-1 HT 1-1 VfB Oldenburg VfB Oldenburg ALMBÖL
06.10.2019 Drochtersen / Assel Drochtersen / Assel 5-1 HT 3-0 VfB Oldenburg VfB Oldenburg ALMBÖL
25.10.2015 VfB Oldenburg VfB Oldenburg 1-1 HT 0-0 Drochtersen / Assel Drochtersen / Assel ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH VfB Oldenburg vs Drochtersen / Assel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Drochtersen / Assel saw off VfB Oldenburg 3-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was VfB Oldenburg at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Drochtersen / Assel led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for VfB Oldenburg and 2.33 for Drochtersen / Assel.

What was the final score of VfB Oldenburg vs Drochtersen / Assel?

VfB Oldenburg 1-3 Drochtersen / Assel in the Germany - Regional League on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for VfB Oldenburg vs Drochtersen / Assel?

Before kick-off our model rated a VfB Oldenburg win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split VfB Oldenburg 47%, draw 27%, Drochtersen / Assel 27%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (VfB Oldenburg) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (VfB Oldenburg) ✓ BTTS Yes
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