Türkgücü München 1-3 Greuther Fürth II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.94
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
36%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.9
Over 2.5
51%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.7
No
48%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
30%
+5.8pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.0pp
36%
Away Win
43%
-7.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
49%
+0.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
51%
-0.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.6pp
48%
BTTS No
45%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Türkgücü München EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Greuther Fürth II EU Bookmakers 48%
-32% / -32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
0.25/1.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/1.56
-82% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -58% / -18%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
281 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 394 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 3.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Türkgücü München
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Greuther Fürth II
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
02.09.2023 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II 1-2 HT 1-1 Türkgücü München Türkgücü München ALMBÖL
26.11.2022 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II 1-2 HT 0-1 Türkgücü München Türkgücü München ALMBÖL
20.09.2022 Türkgücü München Türkgücü München 0-1 HT 0-1 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Türkgücü München
1-3
AWAY Greuther Fürth II
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 7
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Türkgücü München vs Greuther Fürth II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Greuther Fürth II beat Türkgücü München 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 28% / 36% — and on the day Greuther Fürth II made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Türkgücü München had 40% of the ball to Greuther Fürth II's 60%, shots finished 9-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Türkgücü München had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Türkgücü München and 1.00 for Greuther Fürth II.

What was the final score of Türkgücü München vs Greuther Fürth II?

Türkgücü München 1-3 Greuther Fürth II in the Germany - Regional League on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Türkgücü München vs Greuther Fürth II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Türkgücü München win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Türkgücü München 36%, draw 28%, Greuther Fürth II 36%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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