Phönix Lübeck 4-2 Eintracht Norderstedt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.61
Draw
29%
3.94
Away
26%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.29
Over 2.5
52%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.61
No
46%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
58%
-12.5pp
28%
Draw
22%
+6.3pp
26%
Away Win
20%
+6.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
40%
+8.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
60%
-8.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.4pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Phönix Lübeck EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Eintracht Norderstedt EU Bookmakers 23%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
2.94/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.87
+37% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -2%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
334 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Phönix Lübeck
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Eintracht Norderstedt
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 17
9 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
22.10.2023 Eintracht Norderstedt Eintracht Norderstedt 0-2 HT 0-1 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck ALMBÖL
19.03.2023 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck 1-0 HT 1-0 Eintracht Norderstedt Eintracht Norderstedt ALMBÖL
18.09.2022 Eintracht Norderstedt Eintracht Norderstedt 2-3 HT 0-0 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck ALMBÖL
16.10.2021 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck 1-1 HT 0-1 Eintracht Norderstedt Eintracht Norderstedt ALMBÖL
13.08.2021 Eintracht Norderstedt Eintracht Norderstedt 4-0 HT 1-0 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Phönix Lübeck vs Eintracht Norderstedt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Phönix Lübeck got the better of Eintracht Norderstedt 4-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Phönix Lübeck as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Phönix Lübeck had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Phönix Lübeck and 1.40 for Eintracht Norderstedt.

What was the final score of Phönix Lübeck vs Eintracht Norderstedt?

Phönix Lübeck 4-2 Eintracht Norderstedt in the Germany - Regional League on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Phönix Lübeck vs Eintracht Norderstedt?

Before kick-off our model rated a Phönix Lübeck win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Phönix Lübeck 45%, draw 28%, Eintracht Norderstedt 26%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Phönix Lübeck), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Phönix Lübeck) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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