Aubstadt 0-2 Illertissen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.09
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
30%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.0
Over 2.5
44%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.63
No
52%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
44%
-3.3pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.7pp
30%
Away Win
30%
+0.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
46%
+9.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
54%
-9.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
57%
-8.9pp
52%
BTTS No
43%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aubstadt EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Illertissen EU Bookmakers 33%
+3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +9%
2.32/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.89/2.00
-18% / +53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +8%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
361 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 230 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.7 Crosses 13.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aubstadt
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Illertissen
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
03.10.2023 Illertissen Illertissen 1-0 HT 1-0 Aubstadt Aubstadt ALMBÖL
01.04.2023 Illertissen Illertissen 1-3 HT 0-1 Aubstadt Aubstadt ALMBÖL
10.09.2022 Aubstadt Aubstadt 4-1 HT 1-1 Illertissen Illertissen ALMBÖL
12.03.2022 Aubstadt Aubstadt 1-1 HT 0-0 Illertissen Illertissen ALMBÖL
20.08.2021 Illertissen Illertissen 1-2 HT 1-1 Aubstadt Aubstadt ALMBÖL
10.10.2020 Aubstadt Aubstadt 3-0 HT 2-0 Illertissen Illertissen ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Aubstadt vs Illertissen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Illertissen saw off Aubstadt 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Aubstadt at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aubstadt had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Aubstadt and 0.83 for Illertissen.

What was the final score of Aubstadt vs Illertissen?

Aubstadt 0-2 Illertissen in the Germany - Regional League on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aubstadt vs Illertissen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aubstadt win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Aubstadt 41%, draw 29%, Illertissen 30%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Aubstadt) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aubstadt) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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