VFC Plauen 1-1 Chemnitzer FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
4.13
Draw
30%
3.64
Away
49%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.74
Over 2.5
43%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.99
No
51%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
49%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
5%
1/X
3%
X/1
7%
X/2
20%
X/X
18%
2/1
4%
2/2
24%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
21%
+0.3pp
30%
Draw
24%
+5.4pp
49%
Away Win
55%
-5.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
54%
+2.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
46%
-2.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
46%
+2.6pp
51%
BTTS No
54%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME VFC Plauen EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Chemnitzer FC EU Bookmakers 59%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
0.94/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/0.98
-19% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +7%
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
224 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 478 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME VFC Plauen
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Chemnitzer FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
19.10.2024 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC 0-1 HT 0-0 VFC Plauen VFC Plauen ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH VFC Plauen vs Chemnitzer FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

VFC Plauen and Chemnitzer FC couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Chemnitzer FC at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

What was the final score of VFC Plauen vs Chemnitzer FC?

VFC Plauen 1-1 Chemnitzer FC in the Germany - Regional League on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for VFC Plauen vs Chemnitzer FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chemnitzer FC win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split VFC Plauen 21%, draw 30%, Chemnitzer FC 49%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Chemnitzer FC), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chemnitzer FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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