Chemnitzer FC 0-1 VFC Plauen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒15:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.64
Draw
36%
3.72
Away
23%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.91
Over 2.5
34%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.85
No
56%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
25%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
57%
-15.8pp
36%
Draw
24%
+12.4pp
23%
Away Win
20%
+3.3pp
66%
Under 2.5
48%
+17.2pp
34%
Over 2.5
52%
-17.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
50%
-6.4pp
56%
BTTS No
50%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chemnitzer FC EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY VFC Plauen EU Bookmakers 23%
-2% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.47/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.52/1.92
-26% / +55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -54% / -4%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
428 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
POST-MATCH Chemnitzer FC vs VFC Plauen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

VFC Plauen edged past Chemnitzer FC 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 41% / 36% / 23% — and on the day VFC Plauen made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

What was the final score of Chemnitzer FC vs VFC Plauen?

Chemnitzer FC 0-1 VFC Plauen in the Germany - Regional League on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chemnitzer FC vs VFC Plauen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chemnitzer FC win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Chemnitzer FC 41%, draw 36%, VFC Plauen 23%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Chemnitzer FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chemnitzer FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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