Werder Bremen II 3-2 Bremer SV — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.57
Draw
28%
4.34
Away
25%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
3.94
Over 2.5
60%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.32
No
42%
3.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
11%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
59%
-12.2pp
28%
Draw
20%
+8.8pp
25%
Away Win
21%
+3.3pp
40%
Under 2.5
22%
+18.3pp
60%
Over 2.5
78%
-18.3pp
58%
BTTS Yes
72%
-13.3pp
42%
BTTS No
28%
+13.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Werder Bremen II EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Bremer SV EU Bookmakers 25%
-1% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +19%
2.22/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/2.04
+3% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / -10%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
421 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 4.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Werder Bremen II
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Bremer SV
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.04.2023 Bremer SV Bremer SV 2-0 HT 1-0 Werder Bremen II Werder Bremen II ALMBÖL
22.10.2022 Werder Bremen II Werder Bremen II 3-0 HT 1-0 Bremer SV Bremer SV ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Werder Bremen II vs Bremer SV
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Werder Bremen II squeezed past Bremer SV 3-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Werder Bremen II as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Werder Bremen II and 1.00 for Bremer SV.

What was the final score of Werder Bremen II vs Bremer SV?

Werder Bremen II 3-2 Bremer SV in the Germany - Regional League on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Werder Bremen II vs Bremer SV?

Before kick-off our model rated a Werder Bremen II win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Werder Bremen II 47%, draw 28%, Bremer SV 25%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Werder Bremen II), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Werder Bremen II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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