Nürnberg II 1-3 Türkgücü München — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 19 Oct 2024

Nürnberg II
1-3
Türkgücü München
📅19/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
Germany - Regional League – 2024/2025

Nürnberg II vs Türkgücü München Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.42
Draw
21%
4.62
Away
17%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.59
Over 2.5
54%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.66
No
53%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
4%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
66%
-4.1pp
21%
Draw
19%
+2.4pp
17%
Away Win
15%
+1.6pp
46%
Under 2.5
35%
+10.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
65%
-10.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-9.2pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Nürnberg II v Türkgücü München — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nürnberg II EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Türkgücü München EU Bookmakers 18%
-8% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
2.67/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/2.55
+25% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / -19%
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
440 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses 24.0
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.5

Nürnberg II vs Türkgücü München Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nürnberg II
4W-0D-0L
AWAY Türkgücü München
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.25
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
20.04.2024 Türkgücü München Türkgücü München 0-2 HT 0-0 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II ALMBÖL
03.10.2023 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II 2-0 HT 0-0 Türkgücü München Türkgücü München ALMBÖL
12.03.2023 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II 4-1 HT 1-0 Türkgücü München Türkgücü München ALMBÖL
23.08.2022 Türkgücü München Türkgücü München 0-1 HT 0-1 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Nürnberg II vs Türkgücü München
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Türkgücü München got the better of Nürnberg II 3-1 away from home.

This one beat our numbers. Nürnberg II carried 62% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Nürnberg II had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for Nürnberg II and 0.25 for Türkgücü München.

What was the final score of Nürnberg II vs Türkgücü München?

Nürnberg II 1-3 Türkgücü München in the Germany - Regional League on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nürnberg II vs Türkgücü München?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nürnberg II win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Nürnberg II 62%, draw 21%, Türkgücü München 17%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Nürnberg II), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nürnberg II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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