19/10/2024
·
00:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-1
2nd Score
1-2
Ansbach 09 vs Schwaben Augsburg Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
6%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
39%
21%
Draw
24%
30%
Away Win
37%
45%
Under 2.5
36%
55%
Over 2.5
64%
53%
BTTS Yes
66%
47%
BTTS No
34%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ansbach 09 v Schwaben Augsburg — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Ansbach 09
EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY
Schwaben Augsburg
EU Bookmakers 40%
+16% /
+16%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-13% /
-13%
1.98/1.36
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.32/1.65
+22%
/
-2%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-10%
/
-9%
47%
Ball Possession
53%
12
Total Shots
11
5
Shots on Target
5
6
Corners
5
334 · 80%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
332 · 80%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Ansbach 09 vs Schwaben Augsburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Ansbach 09 squeezed past Schwaben Augsburg 2-1.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ansbach 09 as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Ansbach 09 vs Schwaben Augsburg?
Ansbach 09 2-1 Schwaben Augsburg in the Germany - Regional League on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ansbach 09 vs Schwaben Augsburg?
Before kick-off our model rated a Ansbach 09 win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Ansbach 09 49%, draw 21%, Schwaben Augsburg 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ansbach 09), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Ansbach 09)
✓ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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ALMBÖL
More Germany - Regional League
19 Oct 2024