Hessen Kassel vs SGV Freiberg Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Hessen Kassel v SGV Freiberg — Team-Based Signals
Hessen Kassel vs SGV Freiberg Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
1-2
HT 1-0
SGV Freiberg
ALMBÖL
1-0
HT 1-0
Hessen Kassel
ALMBÖL
0-0
HT 0-0
SGV Freiberg
ALMBÖL
Hessen Kassel squeezed past SGV Freiberg 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 29% / 39% — and on the day Hessen Kassel made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, SGV Freiberg led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.40 goals for Hessen Kassel and 1.00 for SGV Freiberg.
What was the final score of Hessen Kassel vs SGV Freiberg?
Hessen Kassel 1-0 SGV Freiberg in the Germany - Regional League on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Hessen Kassel vs SGV Freiberg?
Before kick-off our model rated an SGV Freiberg win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Hessen Kassel 32%, draw 29%, SGV Freiberg 39%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.