Phönix Lübeck 1-1 Lübeck — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 6 Oct 2024

Phönix Lübeck
1-1 HT 0-0
Lübeck
📅06/10/2024 · 🕒15:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Germany - Regional League – 2024/2025

Phönix Lübeck vs Lübeck Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.0
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
29%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.43
Over 2.5
50%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.46
No
48%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-2.5pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.1pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-0.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
38%
+12.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
62%
-12.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
64%
-12.8pp
48%
BTTS No
36%
+12.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Phönix Lübeck v Lübeck — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Phönix Lübeck EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Lübeck EU Bookmakers 33%
-10% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +16%
1.94/1.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.08
+15% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +46%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
359 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.6 Yellow Cards 1.0

Phönix Lübeck vs Lübeck Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Phönix Lübeck
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Lübeck
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.75
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 8
7 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
24.02.2023 Lübeck Lübeck 1-1 HT 1-0 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck ALMBÖL
31.08.2022 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck 0-4 HT 0-2 Lübeck Lübeck ALMBÖL
12.02.2022 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck 1-4 HT 1-2 Lübeck Lübeck ALMBÖL
01.10.2021 Lübeck Lübeck 2-2 HT 2-1 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Phönix Lübeck vs Lübeck
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Phönix Lübeck and Lübeck shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Phönix Lübeck at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Lübeck led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Phönix Lübeck and 2.75 for Lübeck.

What was the final score of Phönix Lübeck vs Lübeck?

Phönix Lübeck 1-1 Lübeck in the Germany - Regional League on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Phönix Lübeck vs Lübeck?

Before kick-off our model rated a Phönix Lübeck win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Phönix Lübeck 44%, draw 27%, Lübeck 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Phönix Lübeck) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Phönix Lübeck) ✓ BTTS Yes
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