Rot-Weiss Erfurt 0-2 Lokomotive Leipzig — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 5 Oct 2025

Rot-Weiss Erfurt
0-2 HT 0-2
Lokomotive Leipzig
📅05/10/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Germany - Regional League – 2025/2026

Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs Lokomotive Leipzig Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.57
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
38%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.95
Over 2.5
47%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
35%
-0.3pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.8pp
38%
Away Win
38%
-0.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.6pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Rot-Weiss Erfurt v Lokomotive Leipzig — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rot-Weiss Erfurt EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Lokomotive Leipzig EU Bookmakers 42%
+11% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -9%
1.81/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.74/1.48
+24% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -7%
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
296 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 382 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.5

Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs Lokomotive Leipzig Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rot-Weiss Erfurt
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Lokomotive Leipzig
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
01.12.2024 Lokomotive Leipzig Lokomotive Leipzig 0-0 HT 0-0 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt ALMBÖL
13.04.2024 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt 0-1 HT 0-0 Lokomotive Leipzig Lokomotive Leipzig ALMBÖL
29.10.2023 Lokomotive Leipzig Lokomotive Leipzig 1-0 HT 0-0 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt ALMBÖL
11.03.2023 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt 1-0 HT 0-0 Lokomotive Leipzig Lokomotive Leipzig ALMBÖL
30.09.2022 Lokomotive Leipzig Lokomotive Leipzig 1-0 HT 0-0 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt ALMBÖL
15.12.2019 Lokomotive Leipzig Lokomotive Leipzig 2-1 HT 0-1 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs Lokomotive Leipzig
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lokomotive Leipzig saw off Rot-Weiss Erfurt 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (35% / 27% / 38%) promised a tight game; Lokomotive Leipzig found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lokomotive Leipzig led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Rot-Weiss Erfurt and 0.83 for Lokomotive Leipzig.

What was the final score of Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs Lokomotive Leipzig?

Rot-Weiss Erfurt 0-2 Lokomotive Leipzig in the Germany - Regional League on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs Lokomotive Leipzig?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lokomotive Leipzig win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Rot-Weiss Erfurt 35%, draw 27%, Lokomotive Leipzig 38%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lokomotive Leipzig), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lokomotive Leipzig) ✓ Under 2.5
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