Rot-Weiss Erfurt 0-1 Lokomotive Leipzig — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 13 Apr 2024

Rot-Weiss Erfurt
0-1 HT 0-0
Lokomotive Leipzig
📅13/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 3-0 ✗
Germany - Regional League – 2023/2024

Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs Lokomotive Leipzig Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.02
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
27%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.15
Over 2.5
52%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.56
No
50%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
11%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
45%
+0.9pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.0pp
27%
Away Win
29%
-2.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
43%
+4.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
57%
-4.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
60%
-10.1pp
50%
BTTS No
40%
+10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Rot-Weiss Erfurt v Lokomotive Leipzig — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rot-Weiss Erfurt EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Lokomotive Leipzig EU Bookmakers 33%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -2%
1.85/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.88
+9% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -16%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
282 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.6 Yellow Cards 2.9

Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs Lokomotive Leipzig Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rot-Weiss Erfurt
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Lokomotive Leipzig
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
29.10.2023 Lokomotive Leipzig Lokomotive Leipzig 1-0 HT 0-0 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt ALMBÖL
11.03.2023 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt 1-0 HT 0-0 Lokomotive Leipzig Lokomotive Leipzig ALMBÖL
30.09.2022 Lokomotive Leipzig Lokomotive Leipzig 1-0 HT 0-0 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt ALMBÖL
15.12.2019 Lokomotive Leipzig Lokomotive Leipzig 2-1 HT 0-1 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt ALMBÖL

Rot-Weiss Erfurt 0-1 Lokomotive Leipzig — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rot-Weiss Erfurt
0-1
AWAY Lokomotive Leipzig
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs Lokomotive Leipzig
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lokomotive Leipzig squeezed past Rot-Weiss Erfurt 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Rot-Weiss Erfurt at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Rot-Weiss Erfurt had 52% of the ball to Lokomotive Leipzig's 48%, shots finished 13-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Lokomotive Leipzig led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Rot-Weiss Erfurt and 1.00 for Lokomotive Leipzig.

What was the final score of Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs Lokomotive Leipzig?

Rot-Weiss Erfurt 0-1 Lokomotive Leipzig in the Germany - Regional League on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs Lokomotive Leipzig?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rot-Weiss Erfurt win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Rot-Weiss Erfurt 46%, draw 27%, Lokomotive Leipzig 27%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Rot-Weiss Erfurt) ✗ Over 2.5
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