Viktoria Berlin 3-1 BFC Dynamo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.84
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
37%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.86
Over 2.5
53%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.7
No
53%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
31%
+8.2pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.0pp
37%
Away Win
43%
-6.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
50%
-3.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
50%
+3.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
55%
-7.4pp
53%
BTTS No
45%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Viktoria Berlin EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY BFC Dynamo EU Bookmakers 48%
-9% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +5%
1.00/1.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.97/1.37
-27% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -8%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
332 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 381 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Viktoria Berlin
1W-3D-0L
AWAY BFC Dynamo
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
27.10.2023 BFC Dynamo BFC Dynamo 3-3 HT 1-1 Viktoria Berlin Viktoria Berlin ALMBÖL
21.03.2023 BFC Dynamo BFC Dynamo 0-3 HT 0-2 Viktoria Berlin Viktoria Berlin ALMBÖL
30.09.2022 Viktoria Berlin Viktoria Berlin 1-1 HT 0-0 BFC Dynamo BFC Dynamo ALMBÖL
08.11.2019 Viktoria Berlin Viktoria Berlin 0-0 HT 0-0 BFC Dynamo BFC Dynamo ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Viktoria Berlin
3-1
AWAY BFC Dynamo
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 8
11 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Viktoria Berlin vs BFC Dynamo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Viktoria Berlin beat BFC Dynamo 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 24% / 37% — and on the day Viktoria Berlin made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Viktoria Berlin had 54% of the ball to BFC Dynamo's 46%, shots finished 16-8.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Viktoria Berlin had the better of it with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Viktoria Berlin and 1.00 for BFC Dynamo.

What was the final score of Viktoria Berlin vs BFC Dynamo?

Viktoria Berlin 3-1 BFC Dynamo in the Germany - Regional League on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Viktoria Berlin vs BFC Dynamo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Viktoria Berlin win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Viktoria Berlin 39%, draw 24%, BFC Dynamo 37%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Viktoria Berlin), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Viktoria Berlin) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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