Vilzing 3-1 Buchbach — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.49
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
23%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.0
Over 2.5
56%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
63%
-8.2pp
23%
Draw
21%
+1.6pp
23%
Away Win
16%
+6.6pp
44%
Under 2.5
46%
-1.8pp
56%
Over 2.5
54%
+1.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.6pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vilzing EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Buchbach EU Bookmakers 20%
-43% / -43% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -1%
0.73/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/2.37
-66% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -13%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
416 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vilzing
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Buchbach
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
29.09.2023 Buchbach Buchbach 1-2 HT 1-0 Vilzing Vilzing ALMBÖL
20.05.2023 Vilzing Vilzing 1-0 HT 0-0 Buchbach Buchbach ALMBÖL
22.10.2022 Buchbach Buchbach 1-2 HT 0-1 Vilzing Vilzing ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Vilzing vs Buchbach
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vilzing got the better of Buchbach 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Vilzing as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Vilzing had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Vilzing and 0.67 for Buchbach.

What was the final score of Vilzing vs Buchbach?

Vilzing 3-1 Buchbach in the Germany - Regional League on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vilzing vs Buchbach?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vilzing win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Vilzing 54%, draw 23%, Buchbach 23%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vilzing), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Vilzing) ✓ Over 2.5
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