Schweinfurt 0-2 Illertissen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.94
Draw
32%
3.28
Away
37%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
2.0
Over 2.5
43%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.61
No
48%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
30%
+0.4pp
32%
Draw
27%
+4.5pp
37%
Away Win
42%
-5.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
46%
+10.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
54%
-10.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.9pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Schweinfurt EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Illertissen EU Bookmakers 46%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +2%
1.55/2.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/1.81
+13% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -30%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
296 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 398 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.3 Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Schweinfurt
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Illertissen
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
36% Ball Possession 64%
17 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
30.09.2023 Illertissen Illertissen 1-3 HT 1-1 Schweinfurt Schweinfurt ALMBÖL
18.02.2023 Schweinfurt Schweinfurt 1-2 HT 1-1 Illertissen Illertissen ALMBÖL
09.08.2022 Illertissen Illertissen 4-3 HT 1-2 Schweinfurt Schweinfurt ALMBÖL
14.05.2022 Schweinfurt Schweinfurt 1-2 HT 1-1 Illertissen Illertissen ALMBÖL
16.10.2021 Illertissen Illertissen 1-1 HT 1-1 Schweinfurt Schweinfurt ALMBÖL
27.09.2019 Illertissen Illertissen 0-3 HT 0-1 Schweinfurt Schweinfurt ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Schweinfurt vs Illertissen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Illertissen beat Schweinfurt 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (31% / 32% / 37%) promised a tight game; Illertissen found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Illertissen led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Schweinfurt and 1.67 for Illertissen.

What was the final score of Schweinfurt vs Illertissen?

Schweinfurt 0-2 Illertissen in the Germany - Regional League on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Schweinfurt vs Illertissen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Illertissen win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Schweinfurt 31%, draw 32%, Illertissen 37%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Illertissen), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Illertissen) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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