Augsburg II 3-0 Ansbach 09 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.61
Draw
20%
4.08
Away
25%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.38
Over 2.5
54%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.6
No
50%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
58%
-2.9pp
20%
Draw
21%
-1.2pp
25%
Away Win
21%
+4.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
38%
+7.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
62%
-7.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.5pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Augsburg II EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Ansbach 09 EU Bookmakers 24%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
2.16/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/2.31
+1% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -21%
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
371 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Augsburg II
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Ansbach 09
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
64% Ball Possession 36%
20 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
30.09.2023 Ansbach 09 Ansbach 09 1-0 HT 1-0 Augsburg II Augsburg II ALMBÖL
21.10.2022 Augsburg II Augsburg II 3-1 HT 1-1 Ansbach 09 Ansbach 09 ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Augsburg II vs Ansbach 09
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Augsburg II cruised past Ansbach 09 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Augsburg II as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Augsburg II and 1.00 for Ansbach 09.

What was the final score of Augsburg II vs Ansbach 09?

Augsburg II 3-0 Ansbach 09 in the Germany - Regional League on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Augsburg II vs Ansbach 09?

Before kick-off our model rated a Augsburg II win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Augsburg II 55%, draw 20%, Ansbach 09 25%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Augsburg II), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Augsburg II) ✓ Over 2.5
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