Chemnitzer FC 1-3 Altglienicke — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.67
Draw
32%
3.54
Away
37%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.18
Over 2.5
48%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.55
No
52%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
33%
-2.0pp
31%
Draw
24%
+6.9pp
37%
Away Win
42%
-4.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
42%
+10.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
58%
-10.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
60%
-12.1pp
52%
BTTS No
40%
+12.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chemnitzer FC EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Altglienicke EU Bookmakers 46%
-4% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +3%
1.02/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.95/1.06
-31% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +21%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
326 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chemnitzer FC
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Altglienicke
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 21
5 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.11.2023 Altglienicke Altglienicke 2-1 HT 0-1 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC ALMBÖL
21.07.2023 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC 1-2 Altglienicke Altglienicke HAZ
17.03.2023 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Altglienicke Altglienicke ALMBÖL
07.10.2022 Altglienicke Altglienicke 3-3 HT 1-2 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC ALMBÖL
16.03.2022 Altglienicke Altglienicke 4-1 HT 2-1 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC ALMBÖL
21.08.2021 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC 0-2 HT 0-1 Altglienicke Altglienicke ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chemnitzer FC
1-3
AWAY Altglienicke
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Chemnitzer FC vs Altglienicke
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Altglienicke saw off Chemnitzer FC 3-1 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 31% / 37% — and on the day Altglienicke made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Chemnitzer FC had 49% of the ball to Altglienicke's 51%, shots finished 10-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Altglienicke led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Chemnitzer FC and 2.33 for Altglienicke.

What was the final score of Chemnitzer FC vs Altglienicke?

Chemnitzer FC 1-3 Altglienicke in the Germany - Regional League on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chemnitzer FC vs Altglienicke?

Before kick-off our model rated an Altglienicke win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Chemnitzer FC 31%, draw 31%, Altglienicke 37%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Altglienicke) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Altglienicke) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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