Luckenwalde 0-3 Carl Zeiss Jena — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.84
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
31%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.86
Over 2.5
48%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.73
No
54%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
32%
+10.8pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.9pp
31%
Away Win
41%
-9.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
50%
+1.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
50%
-1.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
54%
-8.0pp
54%
BTTS No
46%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Luckenwalde EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Carl Zeiss Jena EU Bookmakers 45%
+6% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -6%
1.82/1.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.76/1.03
+31% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +37%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
277 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Luckenwalde
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Carl Zeiss Jena
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
36% Ball Possession 64%
10 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.09.2023 Carl Zeiss Jena Carl Zeiss Jena 3-0 HT 1-0 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde ALMBÖL
09.04.2023 Carl Zeiss Jena Carl Zeiss Jena 3-0 HT 0-0 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde ALMBÖL
23.10.2022 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde 1-1 HT 0-1 Carl Zeiss Jena Carl Zeiss Jena ALMBÖL
06.04.2022 Carl Zeiss Jena Carl Zeiss Jena 2-0 HT 1-0 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde ALMBÖL
02.10.2021 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde 0-0 HT 0-0 Carl Zeiss Jena Carl Zeiss Jena ALMBÖL
26.09.2020 Carl Zeiss Jena Carl Zeiss Jena 2-0 HT 0-0 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Luckenwalde vs Carl Zeiss Jena
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Carl Zeiss Jena ran out comfortable winners over Luckenwalde 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Luckenwalde at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Carl Zeiss Jena led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Luckenwalde and 1.83 for Carl Zeiss Jena.

What was the final score of Luckenwalde vs Carl Zeiss Jena?

Luckenwalde 0-3 Carl Zeiss Jena in the Germany - Regional League on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Luckenwalde vs Carl Zeiss Jena?

Before kick-off our model rated a Luckenwalde win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Luckenwalde 43%, draw 26%, Carl Zeiss Jena 31%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Luckenwalde), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Luckenwalde) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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