Phönix Lübeck 3-1 BW Lohne — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.66
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
25%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.38
Over 2.5
57%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.56
No
44%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
56%
-4.9pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.1pp
25%
Away Win
21%
+3.9pp
43%
Under 2.5
38%
+4.4pp
57%
Over 2.5
62%
-4.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.4pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Phönix Lübeck EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY BW Lohne EU Bookmakers 25%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +7%
1.18/2.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/1.78
-40% / -50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / +4%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
364 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Phönix Lübeck
1W-2D-0L
AWAY BW Lohne
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1 Corners 4
02.09.2023 BW Lohne BW Lohne 0-0 HT 0-0 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck ALMBÖL
04.12.2022 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck 0-0 HT 0-0 BW Lohne BW Lohne ALMBÖL
07.08.2022 BW Lohne BW Lohne 2-3 HT 2-1 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Phönix Lübeck vs BW Lohne
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Phönix Lübeck saw off BW Lohne 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Phönix Lübeck as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Phönix Lübeck had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Phönix Lübeck and 0.67 for BW Lohne.

What was the final score of Phönix Lübeck vs BW Lohne?

Phönix Lübeck 3-1 BW Lohne in the Germany - Regional League on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Phönix Lübeck vs BW Lohne?

Before kick-off our model rated a Phönix Lübeck win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Phönix Lübeck 51%, draw 24%, BW Lohne 25%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Phönix Lübeck), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Phönix Lübeck) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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