Wegberg-Beeck 3-1 Wuppertaler SV — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
5.91
Draw
22%
4.62
Away
58%
1.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.38
Over 2.5
59%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.81
No
47%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
36%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
14%
+6.4pp
21%
Draw
18%
+3.0pp
58%
Away Win
68%
-9.4pp
41%
Under 2.5
38%
+2.6pp
59%
Over 2.5
62%
-2.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.8pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wegberg-Beeck EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Wuppertaler SV EU Bookmakers 72%
+3% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
1.20/2.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.81/1.31
+16% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -32%
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 5
308 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 432 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wegberg-Beeck
1W-0D-4L
AWAY Wuppertaler SV
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 2.80
36% Ball Possession 64%
6 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
02.09.2023 Wuppertaler SV Wuppertaler SV 2-0 HT 1-0 Wegberg-Beeck Wegberg-Beeck ALMBÖL
14.05.2022 Wuppertaler SV Wuppertaler SV 4-1 HT 3-0 Wegberg-Beeck Wegberg-Beeck ALMBÖL
04.12.2021 Wegberg-Beeck Wegberg-Beeck 0-3 HT 0-2 Wuppertaler SV Wuppertaler SV ALMBÖL
21.04.2021 Wuppertaler SV Wuppertaler SV 4-0 HT 2-0 Wegberg-Beeck Wegberg-Beeck ALMBÖL
04.11.2020 Wegberg-Beeck Wegberg-Beeck 2-1 HT 2-0 Wuppertaler SV Wuppertaler SV ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wegberg-Beeck
3-1
AWAY Wuppertaler SV
33% Ball Possession 67%
12 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 11
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Wegberg-Beeck vs Wuppertaler SV
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wegberg-Beeck got the better of Wuppertaler SV 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Wuppertaler SV at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Wegberg-Beeck had 33% of the ball to Wuppertaler SV's 67%, shots finished 12-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Wuppertaler SV led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Wegberg-Beeck and 2.80 for Wuppertaler SV.

What was the final score of Wegberg-Beeck vs Wuppertaler SV?

Wegberg-Beeck 3-1 Wuppertaler SV in the Germany - Regional League on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wegberg-Beeck vs Wuppertaler SV?

Before kick-off our model rated an Wuppertaler SV win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Wegberg-Beeck 20%, draw 21%, Wuppertaler SV 58%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Wuppertaler SV) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Wuppertaler SV) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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