Teutonia Hamburg 0-1 Holstein Kiel II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.96
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
29%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.61
Over 2.5
63%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.39
No
37%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
47%
-1.0pp
25%
Draw
24%
+2.0pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-1.0pp
37%
Under 2.5
35%
+2.0pp
63%
Over 2.5
65%
-2.0pp
63%
BTTS Yes
68%
-5.3pp
37%
BTTS No
32%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Teutonia Hamburg EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Holstein Kiel II EU Bookmakers 33%
+3% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +13%
2.28/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/1.67
+33% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -4%
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
354 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Teutonia Hamburg
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Holstein Kiel II
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 9
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 0
03.09.2023 Holstein Kiel II Holstein Kiel II 4-1 HT 2-0 Teutonia Hamburg Teutonia Hamburg ALMBÖL
08.02.2023 Teutonia Hamburg Teutonia Hamburg 4-0 HT 1-0 Holstein Kiel II Holstein Kiel II ALMBÖL
13.08.2022 Holstein Kiel II Holstein Kiel II 2-2 HT 1-0 Teutonia Hamburg Teutonia Hamburg ALMBÖL
20.02.2022 Holstein Kiel II Holstein Kiel II 3-0 HT 1-0 Teutonia Hamburg Teutonia Hamburg ALMBÖL
10.10.2021 Teutonia Hamburg Teutonia Hamburg 1-1 HT 0-0 Holstein Kiel II Holstein Kiel II ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Teutonia Hamburg vs Holstein Kiel II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Holstein Kiel II edged past Teutonia Hamburg 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Teutonia Hamburg at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (63%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Holstein Kiel II led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Teutonia Hamburg and 2.00 for Holstein Kiel II.

What was the final score of Teutonia Hamburg vs Holstein Kiel II?

Teutonia Hamburg 0-1 Holstein Kiel II in the Germany - Regional League on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Teutonia Hamburg vs Holstein Kiel II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Teutonia Hamburg win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Teutonia Hamburg 46%, draw 25%, Holstein Kiel II 29%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Teutonia Hamburg) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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