Carl Zeiss Jena 2-2 Luckenwalde — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 1 Nov 2024

📅01/11/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.42
Draw
27%
4.49
Away
19%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.23
Over 2.5
53%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
66%
-12.1pp
27%
Draw
19%
+7.5pp
19%
Away Win
14%
+4.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.3pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carl Zeiss Jena EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Luckenwalde EU Bookmakers 17%
+0% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -4%
2.15/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/2.04
+0% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +1%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
404 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Carl Zeiss Jena
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Luckenwalde
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
64% Ball Possession 36%
18 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.02.2024 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde 0-3 HT 0-2 Carl Zeiss Jena Carl Zeiss Jena ALMBÖL
02.09.2023 Carl Zeiss Jena Carl Zeiss Jena 3-0 HT 1-0 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde ALMBÖL
09.04.2023 Carl Zeiss Jena Carl Zeiss Jena 3-0 HT 0-0 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde ALMBÖL
23.10.2022 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde 1-1 HT 0-1 Carl Zeiss Jena Carl Zeiss Jena ALMBÖL
06.04.2022 Carl Zeiss Jena Carl Zeiss Jena 2-0 HT 1-0 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde ALMBÖL
02.10.2021 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde 0-0 HT 0-0 Carl Zeiss Jena Carl Zeiss Jena ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Carl Zeiss Jena vs Luckenwalde
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Carl Zeiss Jena and Luckenwalde shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was Carl Zeiss Jena at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Carl Zeiss Jena had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Carl Zeiss Jena and 0.17 for Luckenwalde.

What was the final score of Carl Zeiss Jena vs Luckenwalde?

Carl Zeiss Jena 2-2 Luckenwalde in the Germany - Regional League on 01/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Carl Zeiss Jena vs Luckenwalde?

Before kick-off our model rated a Carl Zeiss Jena win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Carl Zeiss Jena 54%, draw 27%, Luckenwalde 19%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Carl Zeiss Jena) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Carl Zeiss Jena) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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