Chemnitzer FC 1-0 Altglienicke — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 1 Nov 2024

📅01/11/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.94
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
42%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.62
Over 2.5
40%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.95
No
58%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
17%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
31%
+2.1pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.7pp
42%
Away Win
41%
+0.6pp
60%
Under 2.5
58%
+1.8pp
40%
Over 2.5
42%
-1.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-5.4pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chemnitzer FC EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Altglienicke EU Bookmakers 45%
-12% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
0.70/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.80/0.99
-49% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +41%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
272 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chemnitzer FC
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Altglienicke
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.04.2024 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC 1-3 HT 1-3 Altglienicke Altglienicke ALMBÖL
21.11.2023 Altglienicke Altglienicke 2-1 HT 0-1 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC ALMBÖL
21.07.2023 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC 1-2 Altglienicke Altglienicke HAZ
17.03.2023 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Altglienicke Altglienicke ALMBÖL
07.10.2022 Altglienicke Altglienicke 3-3 HT 1-2 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC ALMBÖL
16.03.2022 Altglienicke Altglienicke 4-1 HT 2-1 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Chemnitzer FC vs Altglienicke
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chemnitzer FC squeezed past Altglienicke 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Altglienicke at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Altglienicke led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Chemnitzer FC and 2.50 for Altglienicke.

What was the final score of Chemnitzer FC vs Altglienicke?

Chemnitzer FC 1-0 Altglienicke in the Germany - Regional League on 01/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chemnitzer FC vs Altglienicke?

Before kick-off our model rated an Altglienicke win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Chemnitzer FC 33%, draw 25%, Altglienicke 42%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Altglienicke) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Altglienicke) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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