Lommel United 3-2 RWDM Brussels — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 4 Apr 2026

📅04/04/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.43
Draw
21%
4.34
Away
21%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.23
Over 2.5
55%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.76
No
46%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.22
2-3 Goals
43%
1.83
4-5 Goals
23%
2.75
6+ Goals
11%
7.83
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
13%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
66%
-7.7pp
22%
Draw
20%
+1.7pp
21%
Away Win
15%
+6.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.0pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.2pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lommel United EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY RWDM Brussels EU Bookmakers 18%
-20% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
1.71/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.55/1.83
-25% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -55% / +150%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
410 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 76%
30.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
22.9 Crosses 9.5
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lommel United
0W-1D-0L
AWAY RWDM Brussels
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
1.07 xG 1.29
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 1
354 Passes 370
82% Pass Accuracy 85%
21 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
09.08.2025 RWDM Brussels RWDM Brussels 3-3 HT 1-0 Lommel United Lommel United BEL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lommel United
3-2
AWAY RWDM Brussels
2.08 xG 0.26
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
494 Passes 284
87% Pass Accuracy 81%
13 Box Touches 5
20 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Lommel United vs RWDM Brussels
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lommel United nicked a narrow win over RWDM Brussels 3-2. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Lommel United as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Lommel United had 61% of the ball to RWDM Brussels's 39%, shots finished 14-4, expected goals 2.08 to 0.26 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Lommel United's control.

What was the final score of Lommel United vs RWDM Brussels?

Lommel United 3-2 RWDM Brussels in the Belgium - 1st Division on 04/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lommel United vs RWDM Brussels?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lommel United win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Lommel United 58%, draw 22%, RWDM Brussels 21%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lommel United), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lommel United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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