Lierse Kempenzonen 0-2 Boussu Dour Borinage — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 4 Apr 2026

📅04/04/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.57
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
38%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.91
Over 2.5
48%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.66
No
45%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.26
2-3 Goals
38%
1.73
4-5 Goals
22%
3.25
6+ Goals
10%
12.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.26 — our 30% vs market 23.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
18%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
35%
-1.4pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.4pp
38%
Away Win
39%
-0.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.6pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lierse Kempenzonen EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Boussu Dour Borinage EU Bookmakers 43%
+3% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
1.54/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.37
+31% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / -34%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
322 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 78%
22.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.4
21.2 Crosses 20.4
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lierse Kempenzonen
3W-0D-2L
AWAY Boussu Dour Borinage
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
1.42 xG 0.77
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
365 Passes 254
79% Pass Accuracy 74%
18 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.12.2025 Boussu Dour Borinage Boussu Dour Borinage 0-1 HT 0-0 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen BEL2
02.03.2025 Boussu Dour Borinage Boussu Dour Borinage 1-0 HT 0-0 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen BEL2
06.10.2024 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen 4-0 HT 2-0 Boussu Dour Borinage Boussu Dour Borinage BEL2
02.03.2024 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen 3-1 HT 1-0 Boussu Dour Borinage Boussu Dour Borinage BEL2
17.09.2023 Boussu Dour Borinage Boussu Dour Borinage 2-0 HT 1-0 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen BEL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lierse Kempenzonen
0-2
AWAY Boussu Dour Borinage
0.88 xG 0.32
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
377 Passes 241
83% Pass Accuracy 74%
24 Box Touches 20
22 Crosses 15
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lierse Kempenzonen vs Boussu Dour Borinage
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Boussu Dour Borinage got the better of Lierse Kempenzonen 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 29% / 38% — and on the day Boussu Dour Borinage made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lierse Kempenzonen had 58% of the ball to Boussu Dour Borinage's 42%, shots finished 10-6, expected goals 0.88 to 0.32 — the balance of chances actually favoured Lierse Kempenzonen.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Lierse Kempenzonen had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Lierse Kempenzonen and 0.80 for Boussu Dour Borinage.

What was the final score of Lierse Kempenzonen vs Boussu Dour Borinage?

Lierse Kempenzonen 0-2 Boussu Dour Borinage in the Belgium - 1st Division on 04/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lierse Kempenzonen vs Boussu Dour Borinage?

Before kick-off our model rated an Boussu Dour Borinage win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Lierse Kempenzonen 34%, draw 29%, Boussu Dour Borinage 38%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Boussu Dour Borinage), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Boussu Dour Borinage) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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