Boussu Dour Borinage vs Lierse Kempenzonen Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Boussu Dour Borinage v Lierse Kempenzonen — Team-Based Signals
Boussu Dour Borinage vs Lierse Kempenzonen Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Lierse Kempenzonen
BEL2
Boussu Dour Borinage 1-0 Lierse Kempenzonen — Actual Match Statistics
Boussu Dour Borinage edged past Lierse Kempenzonen 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Boussu Dour Borinage as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Boussu Dour Borinage had 42% of the ball to Lierse Kempenzonen's 58%, shots finished 13-6, expected goals 0.58 to 0.32.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Lierse Kempenzonen led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Boussu Dour Borinage and 2.33 for Lierse Kempenzonen.
What was the final score of Boussu Dour Borinage vs Lierse Kempenzonen?
Boussu Dour Borinage 1-0 Lierse Kempenzonen in the Belgium - 1st Division on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Boussu Dour Borinage vs Lierse Kempenzonen?
Before kick-off our model rated a Boussu Dour Borinage win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Boussu Dour Borinage 43%, draw 28%, Lierse Kempenzonen 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Boussu Dour Borinage), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.