KRC Genk II 1-2 Lokeren-Temse — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 2 Mar 2025

📅02/03/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.38
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
35%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.07
Over 2.5
47%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.56
No
45%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
24%
3.82
2-3 Goals
43%
1.8
4-5 Goals
22%
2.94
6+ Goals
11%
9.24
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.82 — our 24% vs market 19.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
38%
-0.5pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.5pp
36%
Away Win
36%
-0.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
44%
+9.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
56%
-9.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.1pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KRC Genk II EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Lokeren-Temse EU Bookmakers 39%
-11% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
1.60/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.67/1.71
-3% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -16%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
273 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 78%
27.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.9
16.4 Crosses 18.6
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KRC Genk II
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Lokeren-Temse
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
0.67 xG 0.94
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 8
354 Passes 272
79% Pass Accuracy 74%
17 Box Touches 11
16 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 4
03.11.2024 Lokeren-Temse Lokeren-Temse 4-0 HT 3-0 KRC Genk II KRC Genk II BEL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KRC Genk II
1-2
AWAY Lokeren-Temse
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
POST-MATCH KRC Genk II vs Lokeren-Temse
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lokeren-Temse edged past KRC Genk II 2-1 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 27% / 36% — and on the day Lokeren-Temse made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, KRC Genk II had 56% of the ball to Lokeren-Temse's 44%, shots finished 15-6.

What was the final score of KRC Genk II vs Lokeren-Temse?

KRC Genk II 1-2 Lokeren-Temse in the Belgium - 1st Division on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KRC Genk II vs Lokeren-Temse?

Before kick-off our model rated a KRC Genk II win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split KRC Genk II 38%, draw 27%, Lokeren-Temse 36%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (KRC Genk II), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (KRC Genk II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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