Lommel United 2-2 RFC Seraing — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 2 Mar 2025

📅02/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.76
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
35%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.0
Over 2.5
50%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.6
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
3.04
6+ Goals
12%
10.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
53%
-12.6pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.6pp
35%
Away Win
23%
+11.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
46%
+3.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
54%
-3.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.5pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lommel United EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY RFC Seraing EU Bookmakers 26%
-13% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +15%
1.72/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.75
-18% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +33%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
373 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 74%
29.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.9
20.8 Crosses 22.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lommel United
1W-2D-3L
AWAY RFC Seraing
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.66 xG 1.26
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
424 Passes 256
81% Pass Accuracy 72%
26 Box Touches 24
17 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
01.09.2024 RFC Seraing RFC Seraing 1-2 HT 1-1 Lommel United Lommel United BEL2
06.04.2024 Lommel United Lommel United 0-0 HT 0-0 RFC Seraing RFC Seraing BEL2
08.12.2023 RFC Seraing RFC Seraing 2-2 HT 1-1 Lommel United Lommel United BEL2
24.04.2021 Lommel United Lommel United 1-3 HT 0-0 RFC Seraing RFC Seraing BEL2
06.02.2021 RFC Seraing RFC Seraing 5-0 Lommel United Lommel United BEL2
25.10.2020 RFC Seraing RFC Seraing 1-0 HT 1-0 Lommel United Lommel United BEL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lommel United
2-2
AWAY RFC Seraing
1.49 xG 0.88
63% Ball Possession 37%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 6
361 Passes 162
79% Pass Accuracy 62%
30 Box Touches 16
24 Crosses 23
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lommel United vs RFC Seraing
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lommel United and RFC Seraing shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match split (40% / 25% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Lommel United had 63% of the ball to RFC Seraing's 37%, shots finished 12-13, expected goals 1.49 to 0.88.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, RFC Seraing led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Lommel United and 2.00 for RFC Seraing.

What was the final score of Lommel United vs RFC Seraing?

Lommel United 2-2 RFC Seraing in the Belgium - 1st Division on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lommel United vs RFC Seraing?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lommel United win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Lommel United 40%, draw 25%, RFC Seraing 35%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lommel United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lommel United) ✓ BTTS Yes
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