RFC Seraing 1-2 Lommel United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 1 Sep 2024

📅01/09/2024 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
3.75
Draw
30%
3.64
Away
48%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.0
Over 2.5
52%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.7
No
47%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.73
2-3 Goals
39%
1.82
4-5 Goals
26%
3.26
6+ Goals
9%
11.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
33%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
23%
-0.6pp
30%
Draw
24%
+5.8pp
48%
Away Win
53%
-5.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
46%
+1.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
54%
-1.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
55%
-1.8pp
47%
BTTS No
45%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME RFC Seraing EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Lommel United EU Bookmakers 57%
-11% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
1.05/1.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/0.72
-18% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +45%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
314 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 80%
17.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.4
17.1 Crosses 14.2
2.9 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME RFC Seraing
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Lommel United
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.72 xG 1.62
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 17
7 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
284 Passes 405
74% Pass Accuracy 81%
25 Box Touches 28
15 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
06.04.2024 Lommel United Lommel United 0-0 HT 0-0 RFC Seraing RFC Seraing BEL2
08.12.2023 RFC Seraing RFC Seraing 2-2 HT 1-1 Lommel United Lommel United BEL2
24.04.2021 Lommel United Lommel United 1-3 HT 0-0 RFC Seraing RFC Seraing BEL2
06.02.2021 RFC Seraing RFC Seraing 5-0 Lommel United Lommel United BEL2
25.10.2020 RFC Seraing RFC Seraing 1-0 HT 1-0 Lommel United Lommel United BEL2
24.08.2020 Lommel United Lommel United 3-5 HT 2-1 RFC Seraing RFC Seraing BEL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME RFC Seraing
1-2
AWAY Lommel United
0.85 xG 1.99
36% Ball Possession 64%
14 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 3
199 Passes 419
70% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Box Touches 20
7 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH RFC Seraing vs Lommel United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lommel United squeezed past RFC Seraing 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Lommel United as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, RFC Seraing had 36% of the ball to Lommel United's 64%, shots finished 14-16, expected goals 0.85 to 1.99.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, RFC Seraing had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for RFC Seraing and 1.00 for Lommel United.

What was the final score of RFC Seraing vs Lommel United?

RFC Seraing 1-2 Lommel United in the Belgium - 1st Division on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for RFC Seraing vs Lommel United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lommel United win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split RFC Seraing 23%, draw 30%, Lommel United 48%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lommel United), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lommel United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BEL2 More Belgium - 1st Division
1 Sep 2024
14:30 KRC Genk II vs Boussu Dour Borinage Analysis →
17:00 Lierse Kempenzonen vs Deinze Analysis →