Lierse Kempenzonen 0-1 Deinze — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 1 Sep 2024

📅01/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.17
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
46%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.18
Over 2.5
52%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.55
No
47%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.42
2-3 Goals
41%
1.89
4-5 Goals
24%
2.93
6+ Goals
11%
8.66
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
17%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
28%
+2.8pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.2pp
46%
Away Win
46%
-0.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
42%
+5.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
58%
-5.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.4pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lierse Kempenzonen EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Deinze EU Bookmakers 50%
-1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +9%
1.27/1.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.70/1.64
+22% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
336 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 78%
20.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.8
18.7 Crosses 19.9
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lierse Kempenzonen
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Deinze
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.44 xG 1.66
44% Ball Possession 56%
15 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
276 Passes 392
74% Pass Accuracy 80%
23 Box Touches 24
21 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
19.01.2024 Deinze Deinze 4-0 HT 1-0 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen BEL2
08.10.2023 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen 0-1 HT 0-1 Deinze Deinze BEL2
20.11.2022 Deinze Deinze 2-1 HT 1-0 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen BEL2
03.09.2022 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen 4-1 HT 2-1 Deinze Deinze BEL2
09.04.2022 Deinze Deinze 1-2 HT 0-1 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen BEL2
04.02.2022 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen 1-1 HT 1-1 Deinze Deinze BEL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lierse Kempenzonen
0-1
AWAY Deinze
50% Ball Possession 50%
6 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Lierse Kempenzonen vs Deinze
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deinze nicked a narrow win over Lierse Kempenzonen 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Deinze as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Lierse Kempenzonen had 50% of the ball to Deinze's 50%, shots finished 6-20.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deinze led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Lierse Kempenzonen and 1.67 for Deinze.

What was the final score of Lierse Kempenzonen vs Deinze?

Lierse Kempenzonen 0-1 Deinze in the Belgium - 1st Division on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lierse Kempenzonen vs Deinze?

Before kick-off our model rated an Deinze win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Lierse Kempenzonen 31%, draw 23%, Deinze 46%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deinze) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Deinze) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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