KRC Genk II 1-2 Boussu Dour Borinage — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 1 Sep 2024

📅01/09/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.96
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
30%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.03
Over 2.5
53%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.63
No
50%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.82
2-3 Goals
36%
1.83
4-5 Goals
25%
3.2
6+ Goals
14%
10.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
47%
-2.1pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.0pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+2.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
45%
+1.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
55%
-1.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
57%
-7.3pp
50%
BTTS No
43%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KRC Genk II EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Boussu Dour Borinage EU Bookmakers 32%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.71/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.51
-7% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +55% / +24%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
353 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 77%
32.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
16.5 Crosses 15.4
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KRC Genk II
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Boussu Dour Borinage
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.51 xG 1.19
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
358 Passes 263
82% Pass Accuracy 74%
26 Box Touches 14
12 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 4
12.04.2024 KRC Genk II KRC Genk II 1-1 HT 0-1 Boussu Dour Borinage Boussu Dour Borinage BEL2
20.08.2023 Boussu Dour Borinage Boussu Dour Borinage 2-5 HT 0-2 KRC Genk II KRC Genk II BEL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KRC Genk II
1-2
AWAY Boussu Dour Borinage
0.83 xG 1.11
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 5
341 Passes 264
81% Pass Accuracy 76%
12 Box Touches 24
12 Crosses 21
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH KRC Genk II vs Boussu Dour Borinage
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Boussu Dour Borinage nicked a narrow win over KRC Genk II 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was KRC Genk II at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, KRC Genk II had 54% of the ball to Boussu Dour Borinage's 46%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 0.83 to 1.11.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, KRC Genk II had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for KRC Genk II and 1.50 for Boussu Dour Borinage.

What was the final score of KRC Genk II vs Boussu Dour Borinage?

KRC Genk II 1-2 Boussu Dour Borinage in the Belgium - 1st Division on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KRC Genk II vs Boussu Dour Borinage?

Before kick-off our model rated a KRC Genk II win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split KRC Genk II 45%, draw 25%, Boussu Dour Borinage 30%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (KRC Genk II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (KRC Genk II) ✓ Over 2.5
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