AC Horsens 1-0 Lyngby — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 4 Apr 2026

📅04/04/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.32
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
49%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.68
Over 2.5
52%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.88
No
47%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.62
2-3 Goals
41%
1.7
4-5 Goals
22%
3.97
6+ Goals
9%
19.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
5.66
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
27.5
1/X
6%
14.25
X/1
11%
7.16
X/2
16%
4.58
X/X
11%
4.16
2/1
8%
34.0
2/2
23%
2.84
2/X
9%
13.35
Value flag · 1/2 at 27.5 — our 10% vs market 1.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
27%
-2.1pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.6pp
49%
Away Win
45%
+3.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
56%
-7.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
44%
+7.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.8pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AC Horsens EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Lyngby EU Bookmakers 49%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +13%
1.11/1.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.03
+18% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / +61%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
264 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 76%
18.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.0
15.6 Crosses 15.7
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AC Horsens
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Lyngby
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.79 xG 1.37
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
284 Passes 349
74% Pass Accuracy 76%
21 Box Touches 29
19 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
09.03.2026 AC Horsens AC Horsens 1-3 HT 1-2 Lyngby Lyngby DAN1
23.08.2025 Lyngby Lyngby 0-0 HT 0-0 AC Horsens AC Horsens DAN1
03.06.2023 AC Horsens AC Horsens 0-0 HT 0-0 Lyngby Lyngby DAN
16.04.2023 Lyngby Lyngby 2-1 HT 1-1 AC Horsens AC Horsens DAN
19.03.2023 Lyngby Lyngby 1-1 HT 1-0 AC Horsens AC Horsens DAN
25.07.2022 AC Horsens AC Horsens 1-0 HT 1-0 Lyngby Lyngby DAN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AC Horsens
1-0
AWAY Lyngby
0.62 xG 0.59
32% Ball Possession 68%
7 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 2
0 Corners 6
201 Passes 523
62% Pass Accuracy 77%
11 Box Touches 34
5 Crosses 23
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH AC Horsens vs Lyngby
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AC Horsens squeezed past Lyngby 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Lyngby at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, AC Horsens had 32% of the ball to Lyngby's 68%, shots finished 7-8, expected goals 0.62 to 0.59.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lyngby led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for AC Horsens and 1.00 for Lyngby.

What was the final score of AC Horsens vs Lyngby?

AC Horsens 1-0 Lyngby in the Denmark 1st Division on 04/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AC Horsens vs Lyngby?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lyngby win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split AC Horsens 25%, draw 26%, Lyngby 49%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Lyngby) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
DAN1 More Denmark 1st Division
4 Apr 2026
15:00 Middelfart vs Aalborg Analysis →