Middelfart 2-5 Aalborg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 4 Apr 2026

Middelfart
2-5 HT 2-0
Aalborg
📅04/04/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Denmark 1st Division – 2025/2026

Middelfart vs Aalborg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.5
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
47%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.95
Over 2.5
54%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.33
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
23%
3.2
6+ Goals
9%
11.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
6.01
1/2
6%
23.1
1/X
12%
14.45
X/1
6%
7.96
X/2
15%
4.47
X/X
8%
5.0
2/1
5%
34.0
2/2
25%
2.48
2/X
4%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
25%
+3.8pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.0pp
47%
Away Win
50%
-2.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.0pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Middelfart v Aalborg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Middelfart EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Aalborg EU Bookmakers 54%
-39% / -39% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
0.56/1.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.88/1.48
-56% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -8%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
236 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 77%
13.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.6
19.2 Crosses 22.0
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.5

Middelfart vs Aalborg Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Middelfart
0W-0D-4L
AWAY Aalborg
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.17 xG 1.61
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
402 Passes 409
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 18
15 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
01.11.2025 Middelfart Middelfart 1-2 HT 0-1 Aalborg Aalborg DAN1
14.09.2025 Aalborg Aalborg 4-0 HT 0-0 Middelfart Middelfart DAN1
09.11.2022 Middelfart Middelfart 1-2 HT 0-0 Aalborg Aalborg DAK
20.09.2017 Middelfart Middelfart 0-2 HT 0-1 Aalborg Aalborg DAK

Middelfart 2-5 Aalborg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Middelfart
2-5
AWAY Aalborg
0.94 xG 2.63
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 5
353 Passes 436
81% Pass Accuracy 83%
28 Box Touches 38
13 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Middelfart vs Aalborg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aalborg ran out comfortable winners over Middelfart 5-2 away from home. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Aalborg as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Middelfart had 45% of the ball to Aalborg's 55%, shots finished 14-17, expected goals 0.94 to 2.63.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Aalborg led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Middelfart and 2.50 for Aalborg.

What was the final score of Middelfart vs Aalborg?

Middelfart 2-5 Aalborg in the Denmark 1st Division on 04/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Middelfart vs Aalborg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aalborg win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Middelfart 29%, draw 24%, Aalborg 47%. The final score 2-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aalborg), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Aalborg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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