Shonan Bellmare 1-1 Tochigi SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — JAP2-3, 4 Apr 2026

Shonan Bellmare
1-1 HT 0-1
Tochigi SC
📅04/04/2026 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✓
JAP2-3 – 2026

Shonan Bellmare vs Tochigi SC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.75
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
24%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.95
Over 2.5
47%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.76
No
52%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.31
2-3 Goals
45%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
3.21
6+ Goals
9%
11.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.31 — our 27% vs market 23.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
54%
+1.0pp
21%
Draw
24%
-3.2pp
24%
Away Win
22%
+2.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.5pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Shonan Bellmare v Tochigi SC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shonan Bellmare EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Tochigi SC EU Bookmakers 25%
+27% / +27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -33% / -33%
2.99/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/2.00
+64% / +61% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -23%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
284 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 69%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
27.5 Crosses 23.0
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0

Shonan Bellmare vs Tochigi SC Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shonan Bellmare
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Tochigi SC
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 1
The Meetings
06.05.2014 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare 2-1 HT 2-1 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC JAP2

Shonan Bellmare 1-1 Tochigi SC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shonan Bellmare
1-1
AWAY Tochigi SC
56% Ball Possession 44%
9 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 9
345 Passes 268
75% Pass Accuracy 77%
11 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Shonan Bellmare vs Tochigi SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shonan Bellmare and Tochigi SC shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Shonan Bellmare at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Shonan Bellmare had 56% of the ball to Tochigi SC's 44%, shots finished 9-12.

What was the final score of Shonan Bellmare vs Tochigi SC?

Shonan Bellmare 1-1 Tochigi SC in the JAP2-3 on 04/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shonan Bellmare vs Tochigi SC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shonan Bellmare win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Shonan Bellmare 55%, draw 21%, Tochigi SC 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Shonan Bellmare), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Shonan Bellmare) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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