Vegalta Sendai 2-2 ThespaKusatsu Gunma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — JAP2-3, 4 Apr 2026

📅04/04/2026 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.45
Draw
20%
4.08
Away
18%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.91
Over 2.5
54%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.99
No
48%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.27
2-3 Goals
46%
1.74
4-5 Goals
23%
3.24
6+ Goals
7%
12.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
44%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
4%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
64%
-2.5pp
20%
Draw
21%
-0.8pp
18%
Away Win
14%
+3.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
48%
-2.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
52%
+2.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
46%
+6.2pp
48%
BTTS No
54%
-6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vegalta Sendai EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY ThespaKusatsu Gunma EU Bookmakers 18%
+25% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -29% / -29%
3.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/3.00
+69% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -40%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
370 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
20.0 Crosses 7.0
0.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vegalta Sendai
2W-2D-2L
AWAY ThespaKusatsu Gunma
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
442 Passes 288
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
25 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
07.09.2024 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma 0-0 HT 0-0 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai JAP2
11.05.2024 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai 2-1 HT 2-0 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma JAP2
13.08.2023 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai 0-2 HT 0-0 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma JAP2
19.03.2023 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma 1-2 HT 0-1 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai JAP2
20.08.2022 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma 1-0 HT 0-0 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai JAP2
06.03.2022 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai 0-0 HT 0-0 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vegalta Sendai
2-2
AWAY ThespaKusatsu Gunma
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 2
303 Passes 324
78% Pass Accuracy 81%
12 Crosses 30
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Vegalta Sendai vs ThespaKusatsu Gunma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vegalta Sendai and ThespaKusatsu Gunma shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

This one beat our numbers. Vegalta Sendai carried 62% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Vegalta Sendai had 48% of the ball to ThespaKusatsu Gunma's 52%, shots finished 13-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Vegalta Sendai and 0.83 for ThespaKusatsu Gunma.

What was the final score of Vegalta Sendai vs ThespaKusatsu Gunma?

Vegalta Sendai 2-2 ThespaKusatsu Gunma in the JAP2-3 on 04/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vegalta Sendai vs ThespaKusatsu Gunma?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vegalta Sendai win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Vegalta Sendai 62%, draw 20%, ThespaKusatsu Gunma 18%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Vegalta Sendai) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vegalta Sendai) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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